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EOS, Binance Coin, TRON, Litecoin, Bitcoin

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In December 2017, the market participants were eagerly waiting for the total crypto market capitalization to touch $1 trillion. Fast forward to December 2018, and the total market capitalization is struggling to hold on to the $100 billion mark.

This shows the complete change in sentiment in the past one year: last year, it was fear of missing out and this year it is fear of losing all the money invested in cryptocurrencies.

During extremes of the bull or the bear phase, the markets overshoot and undershoot the technical targets by a large margin. We believe that the decline has reached a panic state, which will end with a bottom formation, sooner than later.

Therefore, investors who believe in the long-term potential of the asset class should be ready to invest once the decline ends. The downside risk from the current levels is limited while the upside potential is attractive.

EOS/USD

EOS (EOS) block producers are operating in negative margins and many will land up in trouble if the price does not recover or if no change is made to the existing reward system.

Hackers are also having a field day with the decentralized apps (DApps) that are based on the EOS blockchain. Their hacks have resulted in a loss of about $1 million since July.

Charles Hoskinson of Cardano believes that the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is likely to train its guns against the $4 billion initial coin offering (ICO) of EOS. So, how does the future look according to the charts? Let’s find out.

EOS/USD

The major trend on the EOS/USD pair is down. The price has been making new year-to-date lows since the breaking down of $4.493.

The bulls had attempted to form a base from mid-August to mid-November, which failed. The pattern target of that break was $2.1561. However, the bears easily broke through this level and plunged the digital currency to a low of $1.55. Even at these levels, there is no urgency among the buyers to step in and provide support.

This suggests that the decline can extend to the next support at $1.2 and below it to $1, which is a major psychological support. The RSI is close to the oversold territory, which shows that the selling has been overdone.

A pullback to the breakdown level is likely, which in this case is the $3.8723–$4.493 zone. However, traders should initiate long positions only after the virtual currency signals a trend reversal. Until then, it is best to remain on the sidelines.

BNB/USD

Binance, one of the top crypto exchanges in the world by trade volume, has launched educational content to provide “unbiased” information about crypto and blockchain to the public. The development of the content is being undertaken by Binance Academy, which is the dedicated education arm of the exchange.

Another arm, Binance Labs, has released its first batch of blockchain projects from its incubation program, which provided the projects with funding and other necessary resources. The exchange has added six new pairs, with Circle’s USD-pegged stablecoin USD Coin recently being included in its Combined Stablecoin Market.

BNB/USD

The Binance Coin (BNB/USD) pair is relatively strong, as it has not given up much ground since the breaking down of the year-to-date low of $5.4666, formed on Feb. 6. It is currently falling inside a descending channel.

If the bears break below the immediate support of $4.1723848, the decline can reach the support line of the channel at $2.5.

Though the trend is down and it is advantage bears, the RSI is in the oversold territory, hence, we can expect the bulls to attempt to climb back above the overhead resistance at $5.4666. If successful, the current dip can be termed as a bear trap and the pullback can extend to the resistance line of the channel, just above $7.5. Traders should attempt a trade only after a reliable buy setup is formed.

TRX/USD

TRON (TRX) launched its TRC20 exchange this week. With the exchange going live, it is expected that the liquidity of the TRON network will increase. The 24-hour transaction amount for DApps increased 48 percent compared to the previous week. Similarly, the 24-hour trading volume increased 151 percent over the last week. With these developments, how does the chart pattern look? Is a bottom in sight?

TRX/USD

The bulls have been attempting to put a bottom in place for the past few months. The TRX/USD pair consolidated between $0.0183 and $0.0281551 for about three months, before breaking down on Nov. 19. An attempt to climb back into the range failed and the bears are attempting to extend the downtrend. The breakdown gives it a pattern target of $0.00844479. If the decline doesn’t stall at this level, then the next support is at $0.00554133.

However, if the bulls defend $0.01089965 and push the price back above $0.0183, the digital currency will indicate a probable trend change. Until then, every pullback will be met with a wave of selling, hence, it is better to wait and watch.

LTC/USD

The Litecoin (LTC) Lightning Network is ready for launch on one of the largest payment gateways, CoinGate. The creator of Litecoin, Charlie Lee, cheered the news in a recent tweet, “Even Litecoin will soon have more than 1000 merchants accepting LN payments!  Thanks @CoinGatecom!”

Lee had sold all of his Litecoin in December 2017, citing a conflict of interest. He had then indirectly indicated that the price of Litecoin could plunge to $20. With the price declining close to his prediction, will it find a bottom at these levels or will it continue to slump? Let’s find out.

LTC/USD

The LTC/USD pair has been in a strong downtrend since peaking out at $370 in December of last year. Though there was an attempt to form a base at $47.246, the bears broke down on Nov. 13 and resumed the downtrend. There was another attempt to defend the support at $29.349, but it did not hold even for a week.

Currently, the downtrend has resumed and the next support on the downside is the $19–$21 zone. If this also fails to hold, the fall can extend to $15. The RSI has reached oversold levels, last seen in the beginning of 2015.

If the digital currency rebounds from current levels and climbs above $29.349, it will indicate that the markets have rejected lower levels. In such a case, a pullback to $47.246 is probable. However, as the bears have an upper hand, the traders should wait for the trend to reverse before attempting a long position in it.

BTC/USD

Some believe that after the crushing bear market Bitcoin (BTC) will meet its end. However, Jeremy Allaire, co-founder of Circle, believes that Bitcoin will be worth “a great deal more” than it is now in the next three years.

Co-founder of Fundstrat Global Advisors, Thomas Lee, believes that the fair value of Bitcoin is between $13,800 and $14,800, a good 315 percent higher than the current levels. During bear markets, prices can drop to crazy levels, which turns out to be a good buying opportunity for the brave hearted who can go against the trend.

BTC/USD

The trend in the BTC/USD pair is clearly down. Since breaking down of the critical $5,900 support, the bulls haven’t been able to defend any intermediate support levels, which shows that the bears are in command.

The selling has pushed the RSI into the oversold territory, a level last seen in the beginning of 2015. The immediate support is at $2,974, from where we anticipate a strong bounce.

Conversely, if the virtual currency fails to recover, the downtrend can extend to $1,752. With every fall, the pair gets closer to the bottom, but it is difficult to predict where the decline will end.

As the slide has been sharp, the next pullback is likely to be equally sharp. Therefore, traders can expect a retest of the breakdown level of $5,900 once the trend reverses. Until then, the short traders will pounce on every small pullback.





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Crypto Custodian BitGo Expands Japanese Presence, Builds Team

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Digital asset trust and security company BitGo is reportedly expanding into the Japanese market, The Block reported on Aug. 9.

A source familiar with the matter told The Block that BitGo is expanding its presence in Japan. According to the report, BitGo is planning to grow its Japan-based team, including hiring a sales director for the company’s sales team in Tokyo.

Per a dedicated job post published by BitGo last week, the sales director will specifically be responsible for the company’s “digital wallet and offline vault solutions across your agreed territory.”

In May, BitGo appointed a veteran Wall Street trader Nick Carmi as its head of financial services. The hire was ostensibly spurred by an intent to forge a stronger connection between technologically innovative digital assets and the traditional financial sphere.

In late July, BitGo and decentralized identity startup Civic announced plans to launch a new wallet using BitGo’s multisig technology in Q4 2019.

Using BitGo’s multisig security technology, the wallet will require users to undergo identity authentication using a blockchain system for secure verification. The underlying data is not shared between multiple parties and aims to grant users more control over their personal information.

As reported in June, about 30 Japan-based crypto-related businesses and 50 individuals had not declared their revenues from cryptocurrency trading as of March, allegedly due to a high tax on this type of income.





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Weapon in US Trade War or Attempt to Manipulate Bitcoin?

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After a short stay in the red zone, Bitcoin (BTC) has recovered toward $12,000, with traders turning bullish as ever. Experts call the United States-China trade war a key reason for the main cryptocurrency’s price fluctuations. Fuel to the fire has been added by the recent announcement by the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) of plans to get ahead of the U.S. and Facebook’s Libra by issuing a national cryptocurrency.

Chinese government is set to digitize yuan, challenge U.S. and Libra

As Cointelegraph reported, the PBoC plans to focus on developing its own legal digital currency. On Aug. 2, during a video conference devoted to discussing financial tasks for the second half of 2019, heads of financial and economic institutes in China touched upon the topic of cryptocurrencies. The country’s central bank announced its intention to accelerate the development of its own digital currency and also confirmed its plans to allocate more resources to the implementation of this task.

It is notable that the decision of the Chinese bank to intensify the creation of a national cryptocurrency was preceded by the hotly debated development of the Libra coin. Initiated by Facebook in 2019, the project is now actively being lobbied for in the U.S. government, but without any results so far. 

Related: US Congress on Libra Overview: Trust, Privacy and Genocide Accusations

In July, Wang Xin, director of the PBoC Research Bureau, said that, with the development of the Libra cryptocurrency project, the People’s Bank of China should accelerate the growth of its own digital currency, which it has been working on over the past few years. Wang believes that the risks Libra bears for the traditional financial system will force regulators to devote many more resources and forces to develop its digital currency. Wang asked:

“If [Libra] is widely used for payments — cross-border payments in particular — would it be able to function like money and accordingly have a large influence on monetary policy, financial stability, and the international monetary system?”

In particular, China is concerned about which currencies Libra will be tied to and what role the U.S. dollar will play in this project. Wang said:

“If the digital currency is closely associated with the US dollar, it could create a scenario under which sovereign currencies would coexist with US dollar-centric digital currencies. But there would be in essence one boss, that is the US dollar and the United States. If so, it would bring a series of economic, financial and even international political consequences.”

Former PBoC Chairman Zhou Xiaochuan also believes that the concept of a global digital currency introduced by Facebook that can be exchanged into fiat money threatens existing cross-border payment systems and could weaken the position of national currencies, which he spoke about at a conference in Beijing, as reported by the South China Morning Post.

According to Zhou, Chinese authorities need to strengthen the national currency and consider the Hong Kong model to create a digital renminbi, which involves issuing money through commercial enterprises under the supervision of the central bank. Some analysts have already expressed the belief that technology giants Alibaba and Tencent may be assigned such a task. Large corporations in the country appear to be supportive of the ideas coming from government ​​members, as Huawei CEO Ren Zhengfei commented:

“China can just issue our own version of Libra. Why should we wait for others to do it? The power of a country is always stronger than that of an Internet company.”

Stablecoin to support the local economy

A future national cryptocurrency may be issued in the form of a stablecoin tied to the yuan (also called the renminbi). Researchers at the PBoC published a review of recent initiatives in this area back in October last year. Most of the coins discussed in the material are pegged to the U.S. dollar, such as Gemini Dollar (GUSD) and Paxos Standard (PAX). The researchers are convinced that the development of cryptocurrencies tied to USD strengthens the role of the dollar in the global monetary system, while also having a negative impact on other fiat currencies. According to the researchers:

“If the stablecoins tied to the U.S. dollar end up being widely recognized by the market and prove their applicability in the real economy, we will have to redouble our research efforts in this direction, as well as in studying the relevant experience. This is necessary to support local institutions and issue stablecoins tied to the renminbi.” 

At the same time, the authors note that stablecoins still have a long way to go before the financial system begins to feel any significant influence from new assets. Star Xu, the founder of cryptocurrency exchange OKCoin, expressed a similar point of view in his post on Weibo, writing: “The dollar-pegged #stablecoin regulated by the US government will strengthen the penetration of the US dollar 100 fold.”

Bitcoin is growing due to the yuan’s rate falling

Analysts have drawn parallels between the declining rate of the yuan and Bitcoin’s growth. The price of the preeminent digital currency rose sharply the very moment when the Chinese currency fell by 7% to an 11-year low. On Aug. 5, Bitcoin’s price surged to $11,786, with the daily increase amounting to an 11% gain.

Evolution of PBoC's relations with cryptocurrencies

U.S. President Donald Trump alleged on Twitter that the Chinese government is manipulating the price of the renminbi:

“China dropped the price of their currency to an almost a historic low. It’s called ‘currency manipulation.’ Are you listening Federal Reserve? This is a major violation which will greatly weaken China over time!”

As financial analysts suggest, the renminbi declined due to investors’ concerns about a new round of escalation in the trade war between China and the U.S. This happened a few days after Trump introduced additional tariffs on goods imported from China. Now that U.S. products could become more expensive for Chinese consumers, a lower exchange rate might adversely affect U.S. exporters. The prices of U.S. stock futures have already declined, while the cryptocurrency market has demonstrated the opposite tendency.

Some analysts have postulated that the reason for this dynamic could be because Chinese investors use Bitcoin as a means of saving money. Simon Peters, an analyst at trading platform eToro, suggested that Chinese investors could want to diversify as the yuan fell. According to Peters:

“Given that Chinese investors make up a large proportion of crypto investors, there’s a strong possibility some are backing bitcoin’s chances against the yuan.”

However, Peter Schiff, an economist and CEO of brokerage company Euro Pacific Capital, rejected this explanation, claiming it was more about speculation rather than about real need:

“CNBC is trying its best to dupe its audience into buying Bitcoin. Despite gold being a much larger market, CNBC devotes far more airtime to Bitcoin. The Chinese aren’t buying Bitcoin as a safe haven. Speculators are buying, betting that the Chinese will buy it as a safe haven!”

The internet says…

An ambiguous statement made by the PBoC regarding the creation of a national cryptocurrency has sparked intense discussion around the world. Several points of view, primarily negative, have appeared on the internet in response. Some users suggested that both the U.S. and China need cryptocurrency to strengthen control over their citizens. Crypto enthusiast Richard Heart opined:

“Nations want more control over their cirizens. Nothing new…or good.”

And some even suggested that the confrontation between China and the U.S. in the cryptocurrency field could lead to a world war.

Place your bets

How soon Chinese residents will be able to see — and most importantly use — the local digital cryptocurrency is still unknown, as it may take years to implement such an idea. The full process may require the development of a regulatory framework, instruments of taxation and regulation, as well as creating special entities and hiring specialists who will work with cryptocurrency.

Previously, attempts to create a national cryptocurrency have already been undertaken by countries such as Iran, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Estonia and Venezuela. The South American country allegedly raised $1 billion during the presale of the supposedly oil-backed cryptocurrency Petro, and Venezuelan banks began to display the citizens’ account balance in the new currency. This year, Venezuela intends to make Petro OPEC’s main digital currency, according to Oil Minister Manuel Quevedo.

Related: Venezuelan Petro Against US Sanctions: History and Use of the Crypto

In regard to China, such an initiative has been discussed since January of 2016, when representatives of the PBoC announced the plans outlining their desire to create the country’s own digital currency as soon as possible. At the same time, the Chinese central bank also clearly articulated the advantages of cryptocurrencies over traditional money:

“Digital currencies are much cheaper in circulation than traditional fiat money, promote trade, increase transaction transparency and reduce the risks of money laundering and tax evasion. The use of digital currency will help build a new financial infrastructure, strengthen the payment system in China, increase the efficiency of mutual settlements and accelerate the modernization of the economy.”

Notably, the PBoC has been following the development of the digital currency market for a long time, with an appropriate research group created back in 2014. And since 2015, the Chinese government has been actively studying the regulatory experience of other countries in order to prepare an appropriate regulatory framework.

Correlation between yuan’s fall and Bitcoin’s surge

It is noteworthy that in a report published on the PBoC’s official website, the word “Bitcoin” is not mentioned even once, although China is one of the top players in the crypto industry. The principles and technologies on the basis of which it is planned to create a state digital currency are also not explained. 

At the same time, blockchain technology is mentioned only once as one of the iconic phenomena in the information technology development. However, the general context of the statements suggests that the future digital currency will have much in common with Bitcoin — at least, from a technical point of view. 

Wang noted that the PBoC was one of the first central banks to start exploring the possibility of creating its own digital currency, but research experience alone is not enough. Wang said, “We had an early start […] but lots of work is needed to consolidate our lead.” He also confirmed that the central bank has already received approval from Chinese authorities to create its own digital currency, though it is not yet known at which stage its development is currently at. Huang Yiping, a Beijing University professor and the chairman of the research initiative, said that China is ahead of the U.S. in promoting digital finance. He continued:

“It remains unclear if Libra will succeed […] but the concept won’t disappear. But it has sent a warning to China that its lead [in digital finance] is not a sure thing.”

However, in an interview with Cointelegraph, one of the senior PBoC representatives — who wished to remain anonymous — said that the implementation of such a fundamental project may not do without risks, continuing:

“Digital currency is a sphere very important to look at in the future. The turbulence caused by the Chinese-American trade war and the negative implications of it will last for a long time. Under these circumstances, we will have to monitor the development of digital assets since it brings both risks and opportunities. I believe that China will create its digital currency one day.”





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Disgruntled Bitcoin Investor Brings $22.5M Class Action Suit to Israeli Bank

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An unnamed investor has filed a lawsuit against the Israeli Bank Hapoalim in the amount of approximately $22.5 million, on account of the bank allegedly refusing to accept deposits of profits earned via Bitcoin (BTC). 

Industry media outlet BlockTV discussed the lawsuit in a report on Aug. 9. According to the report, the complaint is being filed as a class action suit, and the investor ultimately plans to sue other Israeli banks on the same grounds. 

According to the report, Israeli banks are largely anti-crypto because they wish to avoid being scrutinized in connection with crypto-related firms and individuals. However, the disgruntled investor’s lawyer, Lior Lahav, has said that this is not sufficient grounds for banks to refuse services to cryptocurrency investors. Lahav stated:

“The banks have an obligation under the law to accept money from the clients […] They can check on their clients, do their due diligence, and find out where the money is coming from. The problem with the banks is that they are doing nothing. They are not asking their clients: ‘Provide me documentation of the origin of the money.’”

Lahav further illustrated the scale of the issue, arguing that there are tens of thousands of Israeli investors who are similarly being punished for no apparent wrongdoing:

“There are more than 70,000 bitcoin investors in Israel who are facing the same problem from their banks […] 99 percent of them are ordinary people that invested in a thing that’s completely legal.”

Ross Gross

Lahav pointedly noted that his client is not Ross Gross. Gross is a Bitcoin investor who claimed that the bank Hapoalim refused to accept his deposit, purportedly because it came from crypto trading profits.

As previously reported by Cointelegraph, Gross began investing in Bitcoin back in 2011, and has reported his earnings to the Israeli tax authority. However, as of 2017, Bank Hapoalim stopped accepting his deposits of funds earned from Bitcoin trading. 

As a result, Gross has not been able to pay his capital gains taxes and the tax authority has put a lien on his bank account, home and scooters. Gross said, “the tax authority is aware of the problem, but they say the ball isn’t in their court.”





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